The best thing about Cantor Gaming releasing win totals for 54 teams on Friday is that means the season is finally getting closer. A quick glance at the calendar shows there are only seven more Saturday's without college football. On one hand, seven doesn't seem like many. On the other hand, that's still seven more Saturday's without college football. But hey, who's complaining, we have over/unders to start talking about.
For those of you not familiar with Cantor Gaming, they operate seven Nevada sportsbooks including the books at the Palms, Hard Rock, The Venetian, and The New Tropicana. So if you happen to be in Vegas anytime soon, you can now place future wages on 54 teams that were part of their initial release.
So how does the Big 12 shake out in all of this? Well, it's no surprise that Oklahoma has the highest win total for the six teams from the Big 12 that were announced. The Sooners total of 9.5 wins was the second highest number trailing teams such as Alabama, LSU, Oregon, USC and Florida State all of who had their win totals set at 10.5. (Beyond the Bets lists the totals for all the teams and has a picture of Cantor's betting sheet).
Here's the list of the six teams from the Big 12 and where Vegas has their over/under set for 2012.
|Oklahoma St.||8.5||Over +130|
|West Virginia||8.5||Over -160|
|Kansas St.||7.5||Over +105|
You'll see Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas, and West Virginia all have their totals at 8.5 but that number doesn't mean the same thing for each school.
Yes, an over bet on any of those four teams means nine or more victories and you'll be able to cash your ticket, but the difference comes in the form of what the oddsmakers are willing to pay you for your wager (apologies to those already familiar with how this works).
Based on the odds, Texas and West Virginia appear to be next in line behind Oklahoma. You'll need to place a wager of $160 on either school to win a $100. Likewise, if you place a wager of the under, a $100 bet would pay you $130 meaning Vegas thinks it's less likely they'll come in under their number.
Compare that to Oklahoma State who also had their win total set at 8.5, you would only need to place a $100 wager in order to win $130. Depending on your point of view, there's significantly better value there, potentially. Of course in the experts eyes, it's also much less likely to happen.
The biggest surprise among the six Big 12 schools has to be Kansas State's win total of 7.5. You may remember K-State winning 10 games a season ago so apparently Vegas isn't thinking they'll be a repeat performance by the Wildcats in 2012.
If you feel otherwise, however, a bet on the over for KSU comes with good odds with the number set at +105. Hmmm, I think I may like that, if I were a betting man, of course.
It was also a little surprising (in my mind at least) to see TCU's number at 8.5. If the Horned Frogs can finish 9-3 in their first season in the Big 12, they'd have to consider that a huge success.
I like OU to get to 10 wins (although the odds are steep at -190). As for Texas, that's toughest team among the six to pick in my mind They'll have the defense to get to 9+ wins but whether or not that offense holds them back is the biggest question mark, although I think I'd lean towards them hitting nine wins.
It seems more than feasible that West Virginia will hit their over and get to nine wins, that is if their defense can adjust to playing in the Big 12 under a first-year defensive coordinator.
So what do you think? Did they get the numbers right?